Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Passing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM EST

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 197.5 (+115/-152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 192.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 197.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to start backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game efficiency when facing better conditions this week.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest clip in football vs. the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (73.9%).
The New York Jets pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency since the start of last season, conceding 8.82 yards-per-target: the most in football.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jacoby Brissett to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Jacoby Brissett has been among the bottom passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 128.0 yards per game while grading out in the 8th percentile.