Jacoby Brissett Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jacoby Brissett

NFL · Player Props

Jacoby Brissett

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 7:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jacoby Brissett Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-108/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Jacoby Brissett's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 60.2% to 65.6%.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their QB 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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