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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

The model projects this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 148.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) usually lead to worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.

In this week's game, Isiah Pacheco is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 84th percentile among running backs with 16.3 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (33.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.

Isiah Pacheco's 59.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year marks a significant decline in his rushing prowess over last year's 69.0 figure.

Isiah Pacheco profiles as one of the bottom RBs in the NFL at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.36 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 25th percentile.

The Browns linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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