Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 14, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 12:56 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.
Isiah Pacheco has averaged 68.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-least run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.4% run rate.
The leading projections forecast Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (44.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (62.1% in games he has played).
With an atrocious record of 2.20 yards after contact (18th percentile) this year, Isiah Pacheco ranks as one of the least effective running backs in the league.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of safeties has been great this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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