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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The projections expect Isiah Pacheco to notch 12.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among RBs.

Isiah Pacheco has earned 50.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

Isiah Pacheco has grinded out 51.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (76th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Jets defense owns the 8th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 3.70 yards-per-carry.

Jets defensive ends project as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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