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Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-150/+120).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -150.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The model projects Isiah Pacheco to earn 15.1 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.After making up 40.9% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Isiah Pacheco has played a bigger part in the rushing attack this year, now accounting for 67.0%.When talking about run support (and the effect it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league last year.Isiah Pacheco has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (73.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 33.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 95.0 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's group of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
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