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Isiah Pacheco
NFL · Player Props
Isiah Pacheco
RB · Kansas City Chiefs
Rushing Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 8, 2023 7:36 PM EST
NFL Props Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.2 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line ranks as the best in the league last year at blocking for the run game.
  • Isiah Pacheco has run for substantially more adjusted yards per game (68.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).
  • Isiah Pacheco's running effectiveness (4.66 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (83rd percentile among RBs).
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has produced the 4th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller piece of his offense's running game in this week's contest (18.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (64.0% in games he has played).
  • The Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
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