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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Isiah Pacheco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-111/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year at blocking for rushers.

Isiah Pacheco's ground efficiency (5.41 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (88th percentile among RBs).

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Kansas City Chiefs have utilized some form of misdirection on 67.9% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Isiah Pacheco has been on the field for 16.2% of his offense's snaps this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile among RBs.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 8th-best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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