My Account Log Out

reorder

Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-180/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Isiah Pacheco has been a more important option in his offense's passing game this year (8.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (2.2%).

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Isiah Pacheco's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 100.0% to 75.0%.

The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Isiah Pacheco Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™