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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Isiah Pacheco Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Isiah Pacheco has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a terrific 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 14.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

Isiah Pacheco's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 11th percentile for RBs.

Isiah Pacheco has been among the worst pass-game RBs this year, averaging just 0.7 receptions per game while checking in at the 16th percentile among running backs.

The Houston Texans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (71.4%) to RBs this year (71.4%).

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