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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 62.0% of their downs: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Isiah Pacheco to garner 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • With a sizeable 10.4% Target Rate (79th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco places among the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season.
  • Isiah Pacheco checks in as one of the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 19.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to call only 62.6 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • When talking about air yards, Isiah Pacheco grades out in the lowly 3rd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, totaling just -7.0 per game.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed good efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, yielding 5.13 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
  • The Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.41 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the 8th-fewest in the NFL.

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