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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (66.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.6 plays per game.

Isiah Pacheco has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.2% since the start of last season, which places him in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs.

In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the best in the league this year.

With a terrific 19.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Isiah Pacheco stands among the top running backs in the pass game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.

In regards to air yards, Isiah Pacheco ranks in just the 1st percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -8.0 per game.

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up a puny 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, yielding 4.78 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in football.

The Chargers linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

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