Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the best possession receivers in the league among RBs, hauling in a stellar 100.0% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the most efficient receivers in the league among RBs, averaging a stellar 8.20 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 87th percentile.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Isiah Pacheco has compiled a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 12th percentile among running backs.
Isiah Pacheco's 2.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 14th percentile for running backs.
Isiah Pacheco has been among the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 1st percentile.

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