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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 13.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a massive favorite in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the league (33.9% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see only 125.6 total plays run: the 2nd-fewest among all games this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Isiah Pacheco to be a much smaller part of his team's run game in this week's contest (34.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (64.5% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Las Vegas's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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