Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 6, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line implies a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.
In this week's contest, Isiah Pacheco is predicted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs with 15.0 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, Isiah Pacheco grades out in the 97th percentile for carries last year, making up 67.0% of the workload in his offense's run game.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 34.9% of their plays: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the model projects the Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-best DT corps in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.

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