Isiah Pacheco Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Isiah Pacheco

NFL · Player Props

Isiah Pacheco

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+102/-136).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 133.2 total plays run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this game, Isiah Pacheco is projected by the model to place in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 15.4 rush attempts.
After making up 40.9% of his team's run game usage last season, Isiah Pacheco has been called on more in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at 59.9%.
In regards to run-blocking (and the influence it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Chiefs grades out as the best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 3rd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 38.1% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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