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Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Isiah Pacheco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to notch 15.6 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Isiah Pacheco to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (59.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (33.7% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 11th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the 2nd-best DE corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone for it on 4th down just 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (9th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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