My Account Log Out

reorder

Isaiah McKenzie

Isaiah McKenzie Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Isaiah McKenzie Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Isaiah McKenzie has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (53.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (22.1%).

Isaiah McKenzie's receiving skills have gotten a boost this year, compiling 3.1 yards per game compared to just 1.2 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Isaiah McKenzie's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 80.1% to 71.6%.

The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) versus wideouts this year (63.2%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Isaiah McKenzie Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™