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Isaiah McKenzie
NFL · Player Props
Isaiah McKenzie
WR · Buffalo Bills
Receptions
Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 3, 2023 12:31 AM UTC
NFL Props Isaiah McKenzie Receptions

Isaiah McKenzie Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • Isaiah McKenzie has run fewer routes this season (60.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (22.1%).
  • Isaiah McKenzie's pass-catching performance improved this year, accumulating 2.9 yards per game vs a measly 1.5 last year.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Isaiah McKenzie's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 82.9% to 69.8%.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
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