Isaiah Likely Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Likely

TE · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants will be rolling out backup quarterback Jameis Winston in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Our trusted projections expect the Giants to call the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 60.8 plays per game.
The model projects Isaiah Likely to garner 8.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Isaiah Likely has been a more important option in his offense's passing game this year (29.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (10.7%).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Giants as the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Saints, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.8 per game) this year.
Isaiah Likely's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 79.3% to 70.7%.