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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-205/+158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -205.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Isaiah Likely slots into the 78th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 28.0 mark since the start of last season.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

The Texans pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (68.7%).

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