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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Since the start of last season, the feeble Chiefs pass defense has yielded a monstrous 80.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • While Isaiah Likely has accounted for 13.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Baltimore's pass game in this game at 7.5%.
  • As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Kansas City's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in the league.

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