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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.
  • In this week's contest, Isaiah Likely is projected by the projections to finish in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.1 targets.
  • Isaiah Likely's 35.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • Isaiah Likely is positioned as one of the leading pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a fantastic 3.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.
  • Isaiah Likely's 72.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a significant decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 82.1% mark.

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