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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Isaiah Likely to accrue 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Isaiah Likely's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 16.0.
  • The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Isaiah Likely's 3.3 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a material boost in his receiving skills over last season's 2.3 figure.
  • The Bengals pass defense has conceded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (80.9%) to TEs since the start of last season (80.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Isaiah Likely's 73.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies a significant decline in his receiving skills over last season's 82.1% rate.

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