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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Isaiah Likely to total 4.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

The projections expect Isaiah Likely to be much less involved in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.3% in games he has played).

Isaiah Likely's 77.1% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 82.1% mark.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

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