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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 132.2 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

In this week's game, Isaiah Likely is forecasted by the model to place in the 85th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.7 targets.

Our trusted projections expect Isaiah Likely to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack in this game (15.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.0% in games he has played).

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 54.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) since the start of last season.

Isaiah Likely's 76.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a significant drop-off in his receiving ability over last season's 82.1% figure.

More Isaiah Likely Player Props

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