Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Likely

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Tennessee Titans · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants may take to the air less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.
This week, Isaiah Likely is projected by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.6 targets.
While Isaiah Likely has garnered 13.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's passing offense in this contest at 22.5%.
In regards to air yards, Isaiah Likely ranks in the towering 78th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, totaling a superb 24.0 per game.
Isaiah Likely profiles as one of the best TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 29.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 50.9% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Tennessee Titans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.3 per game) since the start of last season.
Isaiah Likely's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a material decrease in his pass-catching skills over last season's 8.3 figure.