Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Likely

TE · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-104/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ 0 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Giants, who are -3-point underdogs.
The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.4 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New York Giants last year (a massive 59.7 per game on average).
Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense last year: 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the worst tight ends in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties grade out as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league last year in defending receivers.