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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Isaiah Likely has accrued a colossal 31.0 air yards per game last year: 86th percentile among TEs.

Isaiah Likely comes in as one of the best pass-catching tight ends last year, averaging a terrific 33.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Isaiah Likely profiles as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging an exceptional 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Isaiah Likely rates as one of the top TEs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an excellent 5.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 96th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the shaky Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered a whopping 62.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 53.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 4th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Baltimore Ravens.

While Isaiah Likely has accounted for 13.8% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Baltimore's pass game in this game at 7.5%.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Kansas City's safety corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, grading out as the 10th-best in the league.

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