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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Isaiah Likely to garner 3.8 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Isaiah Likely has compiled far more air yards this season (37.0 per game) than he did last season (14.0 per game).
  • Isaiah Likely's 35.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 16.0.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Isaiah Likely's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 82.1% to 76.9%.
  • Isaiah Likely's 8.5 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 11.3 figure.

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