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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Isaiah Likely to total 4.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Isaiah Likely ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends this year with a colossal 22.7% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
  • The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Isaiah Likely comes in as one of the leading pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a remarkable 34.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.
  • Isaiah Likely ranks as one of the leading tight ends in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 8.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The projections expect Isaiah Likely to be much less involved in his offense's pass game in this week's contest (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (20.3% in games he has played).
  • Isaiah Likely's 77.1% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material drop-off in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 82.1% mark.

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