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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Isaiah Likely to accumulate 5.0 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
  • While Isaiah Likely has received 10.0% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a much bigger part of Baltimore's passing offense in this game at 17.5%.
  • Isaiah Likely ranks in the 75th percentile among TEs since the start of last season with a massive 7.8% of his team's air yards accumulated.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • Isaiah Likely checks in as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 37.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.
  • The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Isaiah Likely's ball-catching skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 82.1% to 77.3%.

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