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Isaiah Likely

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Isaiah Likely grades out as one of the best pass-catching TEs last year, averaging a remarkable 36.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

With a fantastic 80.1% Adjusted Catch% (75th percentile) last year, Isaiah Likely stands among the most reliable receivers in football when it comes to TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 42.0) versus TEs last year.

The Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus tight ends last year, allowing 6.54 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.

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