Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Isaiah Likely

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Likely

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 1:50 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (65.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency versus tight ends this year, giving up 8.96 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has not been good when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 9.35 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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