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Isaiah Hodgins

Isaiah Hodgins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Isaiah Hodgins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New York Giants this year (a massive 62.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the deficient Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed a monstrous 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Giants to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 34.4 per game) this year.
  • With a RATE1-RATE2 point diminishment in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) from last season to this one, Isaiah Hodgins has been utilized much less in his team's pass game.
  • The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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