Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 3, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the best possession receivers in the league, completing an impressive 80.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a stellar 9.82 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
The Seahawks safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 5th-fewest receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 133.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.07 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-fewest in the league.