Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Isaiah Hodgins

NFL · Player Props

Isaiah Hodgins

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Isaiah Hodgins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Giants rank as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 56.2% pass rate.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Isaiah Hodgins has been among the bottom WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 16th percentile.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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