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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Irv Smith Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-174).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +136.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Irv Smith Jr. to garner 5.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among tight ends.

Irv Smith Jr. has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 13.1% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Irv Smith Jr.'s possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.2% to 61.5%.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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