My Account Log Out

reorder

Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Irv Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 66.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

Irv Smith Jr. has been used less as a potential target this season (68.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (55.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 33.1 per game) this year.

After accumulating 22.0 air yards per game last year, Irv Smith Jr. has fallen off this year, currently averaging 14.0 per game.

Irv Smith Jr.'s 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season conveys a significant reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 25.0 rate.

Irv Smith Jr.'s 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a significant decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 73.2% figure.

More Irv Smith Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™