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Irv Smith

Irv Smith Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Irv Smith Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Kevin O'Connell, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Irv Smith to total 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.

Irv Smith has garnered a whopping 15.7% of his offense's air yards this year: 90th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Minnesota Vikings to be the 9th-most sluggish paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.66 seconds per snap.

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.

The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Irv Smith has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in a mere 47.2% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.

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