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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

Ian Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback P.J. Walker in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

The Panthers are a massive 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers offense as the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.28 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 7th-least in the league.

Ian Thomas's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 64.8% to 57.9%.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (69.4%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (69.4%).

The Carolina Panthers offensive line has given their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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