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Ian Thomas

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Ian Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to utilize backup QB Sam Darnold in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Ian Thomas's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.8% to 70.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Carolina Panthers will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 7.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Carolina Panthers have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.4 plays per game.

Ian Thomas has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (34.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (44.3%).

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