Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Hunter Renfrow

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.3% pass rate.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Hunter Renfrow's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this year, averaging 5.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 4.25 figure last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties grade out as the 10th-worst safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Hunter Renfrow has been a less important option in his offense's air attack this season (15.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (21.2%).
Hunter Renfrow has compiled far fewer air yards this year (25.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
Hunter Renfrow has posted a lot fewer receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).
Hunter Renfrow's receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 83.3% to 72.6%.

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