Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 3:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in the league (168.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus WRs this year, surrendering 8.80 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line has given their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Hunter Renfrow has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass game this year (13.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (21.3%).
Hunter Renfrow has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (50.0 per game).