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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-405).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +281 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +250.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Hunter Renfrow to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

The New Orleans Saints pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (67.8%) versus wide receivers this year (67.8%).

The New Orleans Saints defense has yielded the 6th-most passing TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.14 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.

Hunter Renfrow has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (49.0 per game).

Hunter Renfrow's 35.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 43.7.

Hunter Renfrow's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 83.3% to 75.1%.

More Hunter Renfrow Player Props

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