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Hunter Renfrow

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+325/-605).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -603 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -605.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
  • Hunter Renfrow has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
  • Hunter Renfrow's 28.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 43.7.

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