Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Hunter Renfrow

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Renfrow

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving TD

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 10, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Hunter Renfrow Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+325/-605).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -603 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -605.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in football (68%) versus wideouts this year (68.0%).
The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in regard to pass rush.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Hunter Renfrow has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
Hunter Renfrow's 28.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 43.7.

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