Hunter Henry Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-251).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
At the present time, the 7th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (59.7% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
With an exceptional 15.6% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Hunter Henry rates among the tight ends with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Hunter Henry's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 73.2% to 87.2%.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Hunter Henry has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (40.0 per game).
Hunter Henry's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 37.0.
The Bears defense has given up the 10th-fewest receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.33 per game this year.

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