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Hunter Henry
NFL · Player Props
Hunter Henry
TE · New England Patriots
Touchdowns
Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots · Week 4, 2026 Updated Sep 30, 2026 10:12 AM EST
NFL Props › Hunter Henry › Touchdowns

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-341).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -341.

Favors Over
  • The Patriots are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.6% red zone pass rate.
  • While Hunter Henry has garnered 11.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's pass game near the goal line in this week's game at 20.5%.
  • In regards to air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 90th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 38.0 per game.
  • Hunter Henry's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 86th percentile for TEs.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to call only 61.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (just 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Bills pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.1%) to tight ends since the start of last season (67.1%).
  • Since the start of last season, the anemic Buffalo Bills run defense has allowed a colossal 1.30 rushing TDs per game to opposing offenses: the biggest rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Buffalo's group of DEs has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.
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