Hunter Henry Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+239/-264).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (59.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
When talking about air yards, Hunter Henry grades out in the lofty 89th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an astounding 38.0 per game.
Hunter Henry rates in the 84th percentile when it comes to TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 36.0 figure since the start of last season.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
While Hunter Henry has been responsible for 29.7% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in New England's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 21.6%.

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