Hunter Henry Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Hunter Henry

NFL · Player Props

Hunter Henry

TE · New England Patriots

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs New England Patriots · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 22, 2026 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Hunter Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect Hunter Henry to total 4.7 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Patriots profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
With a stellar 3.2 adjusted catches per game (80th percentile) this year, Hunter Henry ranks as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.
Hunter Henry's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 73.2% to 87.2%.

Favors Under

With a 59.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-least pass-centric team in the league has been the New England Patriots.
The projections expect the Patriots to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the Bears defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Hunter Henry's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 37.0.
The Chicago Bears linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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